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Updated: 3 hours 14 min ago

Turkey: Further Tightening from the CBRT

4 hours 41 min ago
In line with our expectations, the Central Bank increased late liquidity window (LLW) rate to 12.25% from 11.75% and kept the rest of the interest rates unchanged. Market consensus was the CBRT to hold the entire set of rates constant. Our rate increase expectation was based on our inflation forecast where we expect to breach 12% in April and stay close to 12% in May.

Spain Economic Outlook. Second quarter 2017

April 26, 2017
The Spanish economy will grow 3% in 2017, three tenths more than what was estimated two months ago, given the confirmation of an upward bias in the scenario. The depletion of some tailwinds calls to maintain the slowdown expectations for 2018 (2.7%). Although reforms have had a positive impact, there are still major imbalances.

Turkey Economic Outlook. Second quarter 2017

April 26, 2017
Turkish economic activity maintained the momentum of the “V”-shaped GDP growth recovery in 1Q17 thanks to the impact lag of fiscal stimulus and solid export demand from EU. Consumer prices jumped on the back of mounting cost push pressures. As inflation accelerated and the Turkish lira suffered due to electoral uncertainty, Central Bank strengthened its monetary tightening

Colombia Economic Outlook. Second Quarter 2017

April 26, 2017
World growth continues apace. The Colombian economy will grow slightly faster than it did in 2016. 2016 saw a healthy and significant adjustment to the current account. Inflation shakes off supply-side shocks and ratifies its sharp fall. The Banco de la República has embarked on a downward rate cycle.

Digital Economy Outlook - April 2017

April 25, 2017
In this issue we will focus on: digital platforms: economic features and policy challenges; fostering a data-driven economy in the EU; licensing Fintech companies: authorities trying a balance between fostering innovation and financial stability; behavioural biometrics, a step further in digital identification; the governance of technology in the digital world

Mexico | Monthly Report on Banking and the Financial System. April 2017

April 25, 2017
New housing stock holds steady. Less dynamic personal lending portfolio, despite better financing conditions. The rate of growth in lending to finance the purchase of vehicles reached an all-time high with figures to October 2016. The CNBV publishes a Report on Financial Savings and Financing in Mexico with figures to September 2016

Presentation Spain Economic Outlook. Second Quarter 2017

April 24, 2017
The world economy continues to improve, albeit within an environment in which risks are still present. In Spain, current figures confirm the upward bias. Thus 2017 GDP growth forecast has been revised to 3%, while we have maintained unchanged the 2.7% for 2018. There are no major changes in the fundamentals of growth.

Latin America: an uneven recovery

April 24, 2017
Financial markets in Latin American have continued to enjoy significant gains over the last few months, largely due to the reduced level of concern over US economic policies and a perception that any increase in interest rates by the Fed will be implemented gradually.

Potential

April 24, 2017
In 1984, two NBA teams let slip the chance of drafting Michael Jordan. The Portland Trail Blazers’ decision was particularly criticised since they drafted Sam Bowie, who never became more than an average player. At the time, the decision seemed justifiable given the various measures that had traditionally pointed to success in the NBA.

U.S. | Weekly podcast: 1Q GDP, consumer confidence and sentiment

April 24, 2017
Weekly economic update focusing on the major economic indicators to be released the week of April 24, 2017. Special topic: overview of the recently published economic reports

Global | Positive dynamics lead to an upward revision in projections

April 21, 2017
Global GDP growth maintains its positive trend in 1H17 as our BBVA-GAIN indicator suggests (close to 1% QoQ). Confidence and global trade continue to point a further expansion, but signals given by hard data are not yet clear. New projections for 2017-18 are revised upwards in China, more moderately in EZ, with no changes in the US.

Infographic Latin America Economic Outlook. Second quarter 2017

April 21, 2017
The downturn in Latin America ends. Growth is expected to increase from -1.4% in 2016 to 1.1% in 2017 and 1.8% in 2018. The recovery in Argentina is taking hold and Brazil leaves the recession behind.

Presentation Latin American Economic Outlook. Second quarter 2017

April 21, 2017
The downturn in Latin America ends. Growth is expected to increase from -1.4% in 2016 to 1.1% in 2017 and 1.8% in 2018. The recovery in Argentina is taking hold and Brazil leaves the recession behind.

Eurozone | A more upbeat outlook, but still surrounded by (mostly political) risks

April 21, 2017
Our MICA-BBVA model estimates growth at 0.5% QoQ in 1Q as improving confidence continued at earlier 2017. Hard data begin to moderate, though foreign trade clearly recovers. Growth forecasts for 2017-18 are revised slightly upwards to 1.7% (+0.1pp) in both years, fostered by higher growth in global demand although risks, mostly political, remain tilted to the downside.

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