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Japan August manufacturing disappoints, but tax hike will proceed

September 30, 2013

TOKYO - Industrial production in Japan declined by 0.2% y/y in August from a 1.8% y/y increase in July, as automobile makers cut production due to sluggish demand following expiry of the Government's car purchasing incentives last year. BBVA Bank says the disappointing data may raise doubts about the sustainability of Japan's economic pickup after a strong expansion in the first half on aggressive monetary and fiscal stimulus measures.

Cool reaction to Shanghai Free Trade Zone as further details emerge

September 30, 2013

SHANGHAI - Following a partial set of details released last Friday, expectations had been running high that the new Shanghai Free Trade Zone would be launched as a breeding ground for investment and financial sector reforms. However, reaction so farh as been cool, especially given the absence of senior officials at the opening ceremony and the lack of details on financial sector reforms (which are now expected over the next one-to-three years), according to BBVA Bank.

China unveils policy package for Shanghai Free Trade Zone

September 27, 2013

HONG KONG - China’s State Council today approved the policy package of the Shanghai Free Trade Zone (FTZ) in a move which ANZ Bank says indicates that China’s financial sector reforms and capital account convertibility will accelerate. The policy document encourages RMB convertibility, interest rate liberalisation, and further cross-border usage, while companies located in the FTZ are encouraged to take advantage of both onshore and offshore markets.

S&P affirms South Korea’s long-term ratings at A+AA- with outlook stable

September 24, 2013

SINGAPORE – Ratings agency-Standard & Poor's has affirmed its foreign- and local-currency credit ratings on South Korea at 'A+/A-1' and ‘AA-/A-1+’, respectively. The outlook on the long-term ratings is stable, and S&P’s transfer and convertibility (T&C) assessment is 'AA'. The agency says its ratings reflect its favourable policy environment, sound fiscal position, and net external creditor position, while significant security risks and contingent liabilities offset these strengths.

China August FDI inflows disappoint, but remain robust for the year

September 17, 2013

HONG KONG - FDI inflows were almost flat in August compared to a year ago (0.6% y/y vs. consensus: 12.5% y/y). The data come after a sizable jump in the previous two months (21.7% y/y in June-July), and the inflows have been resilient year-to-date (+6.4% vs. -3.7% for the full year of 2012). Inflows have grown most notably in the services sector (up 13.5% ytd y/y), and remained sluggish in manufacturing (-3.3% ytd y/y).

Taiwan wins invitation to ICAO meeting in Montreal

September 17, 2013

TAIPEI – Taiwan appears to have has a breakthrough in its long campaign for official representation at meetings of the International Civil Aviation Organisation (ICAO), with Shen Chi, Director-General of Taiwan’s Civil Aeronautics Administration, invited to lead a delegation to ICAO’s 38th assembly in Montreal starting on September 24. Taiwan has not been invited to an ICAO meeting since its lost its seat to the United Nations 42 years ago.

Singapore’s non-oil domestic exports surprise on downside

September 17, 2013

SINGAPORE - Singapore’s August non-oil domestic exports fell 6.2% y/y, surprising markets. ANZ Bank says the contrast between Singapore’s non-oil domestic export (NODX) and re-export (NORX) growth signals that external demand conditions in the region remain on an improving trend, but domestically-produced exports in Singapore are not benefitting, yet.

EIU drops 2013 growth forecast for India to 5%, holds to 7.5% for China

September 18, 2013

LONDON – In an update of its Global Forecast, the Economist Intelligence Unit has again lowered its 2013 GDP forecast for India, from 5.5% to 5.0%. It is maintaining its 2013 GDP forecast for China at 7.5%, but says this will slip to 7.3% in 2014 and eventually to 6.3% in 2017 as China’s economy continues to mature.

Shanghai Free Trade Zone expected to be launched on September 29

September 16, 2013

BEIJING - Shanghai is expected to launch its trial free trade zone around September 29. The zone will offer relaxed restrictions on the capital account and free convertibility of the currency, as well as liberalised foreign exchange. Regulatory details for the zone are still being finalised, but the plan will likely offer foreign companies additional opportunities in industries such as banking and health insurance, while blocking investment in others.

China announces tough clean air action plan to reduce pollution

September 14, 2013

BEIJING – China’s State Council has released its toughest action plan yet to reduce pollution, requiring that the concentration of breathable suspended particles with a diameter of 10 microns or less must fall by at least 10% compared to 2012 in 338 specified cities by 2017. Stricter objectives have been set for areas including Beijing, which must reduce the concentration of PM 2.5, smaller more dangerous particles, by about 25% by 2017, based on 2012 levels.

Interest rate hike in Indonesia underscores divergence with the Philippines

September 13, 2013

JAKARTA - At its monthly policy meeting, Bank Indonesia has unexpectedly hiked interest rates for a fourth time since June, bringing the benchmark policy rate to 7.25%, a cumulative increase of 150 basis points since June. The move was in response to high inflation (8.8% in August, well above the official target of 3.5-5.5%) and downward currency pressures - the rupiah has depreciated against the US dollar by 15% since early June, although stabilising in recent days at around 11,000 per US$.

Improving investment leads to upward revision to Japan’s Q2 GDP

September 13, 2013

TOKYO – Japan’s Q2 GDP has been revised upwards to 3.8% saar (0.9% q/q sa) from the preliminary reading of 2.6% saar (0.6% q/q sa), as capital spending, the missing ingredient until now in Japan’s economic revival, posted a strong increase. In particular, private non-residential investment growth was revised up to 1.3% q/q sa in Q2 from a preliminary reading of -0.1%, and public investment growth was revised up to 3.0% q/q sa (1st preliminary reading: 1.8%).

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